Baccarat is one of those classic casino games that attract many expert players and high rollers. The third card rule makes this quite a complex game, with many possible outcomes, and great opportunities for betting strategists. Even the absolute beginner can benefit from the low house edge and favorable odds in this fast paced card game.
However, we want to dive a little further into the complexities of Baccarat and learn how to play with the perfect bankroll set up. Without a good strategy in place, Baccarat can be a costly game, leading to significant losses in just a few rounds. But with the right disposition and patience, you can make those cards work for you and take your gaming into the green.
How Baccarat Bets Work
The goal of Baccarat is to bet on which hand will score higher, the Player or the Banker. You can bet on either, or on the round to end in a draw. The dealer will draw 2 cards for both, and if the conditions are met, then the dealer will draw a third card for either the player, banker, or both.
The rules of the game are made so that the banker has an advantage over the player, and this is why Banker Bets have commission. The banker bets have the highest probability of winning, and so the casinos must ensure that they don't lose money on these wagers. Yet even with the commission, banker bets have the lowest house edge. Meaning, they are the best bets for players.
The Player Bet has a slightly larger house edge, and the tie has the biggest house edge. That is, if there are no additional side bets. It is a universal fact that side bets often come with the greatest house edge. Yet they also have the biggest payouts, which is why a lot of players still use them.
Optimizing Your Baccarat Bankroll Management
Baccarat is a fast paced game and without a proper strategy, you can go bust quite quickly. All it takes is a few unlucky rounds, and you can run out of money. Experience Baccarat players are used to the yo-yo-ing cycles of profit and loss that come with longer Baccarat gaming sessions. But if they play too long, they can fall into the sunk cost fallacy and play until they completely deplete their funds. Optimizing your bankroll is a must for two reasons:
Never Going Bust
The goal here is to never go bust when playing. As both the Banker and Player bets bring even money (or just under), the big money is not going to come instantly. Compared to hitting a 5,000x jackpot on slots, or a 35:1 straight bet on Roulette. When playing baccarat, you have to be patient and accept the fact that you may have to take a few steps backward before going forward.
Knowing When to Quit
This leads on to the next crucial divide between successful players and those in the red. Be ready to call it a day when you have reached your goal. Set a realistic goal for your gameplay, and when you have achieved it, then quit the game. It is better to keep your gaming sessions short and sweet. Don't let cognitive biases distort your expectations and your understanding of the probability involved.
There are no such things as winning streaks, hot games, and any guarantee that a near miss means a big win is close at hand. These are all psychological traps that gamers can fall into after long periods of play.
Creating a Bankroll
Starting off, you must allocate a bankroll to your baccarat gaming. This must be a concrete amount that you will deposit, and play with until you top up your account again. Say if you play with $100 a month, you can create a weekly bankroll of $25 or top up your account every half month with $50. The bankroll is fixed, so you will not deposit any more money in the given time frame, and must play with what is available.
This ensures that you don't overspend and pump in money you cannot afford to lose into your gaming account. It is far easier how much money you are actually transferring into your account than how much you win and lose across your gaming. But if you make a plan on how much you will spend per week or month, you cannot go wrong.
Patience is a big part of the game, and for that, you will need to stretch out your stake to last a good while. Split your monthly or weekly bankroll into the number of times you plan on gaming in the given time period. For example, you may play 3 or 4 times a week. The $100 a month becomes $25 a week and then only $7.50 – $8 per gaming session. On average, you can calculate a good 50 rounds per hour (at live tables), or more at their online counterparts. If you enjoy a good half hour of gaming, your stake of $7.50 will stretch out to just 30 cents per hand.
Setting Loss and Win Markers
Your bankroll is one thing, but how much you spend and win is another matter entirely. As the bets bring close to even money, you can easily play endless rounds of baccarat and end up with just above or under your starting stake.
Say you played 50 rounds and bet 30 times on the Player and 20 on the Banker. Of that, you won 14 times on the Player (46.7%) and 12 times on the Banker (60%). Let's assume you had a bankroll of $100 and played with $1 per round.
When you finish, your bankroll stands at $101.40, just a little above your original stake. What the little bankroll marker at the bottom of the screen does not display is that you have spent $50 and won $51.40. All of that happened in 1 hour, assuming the table served 50 hands per hour.
- $30 gross spending on Player Bets (30 x $1)
- $28 gross win on Player Bets (46.7% Winning = $14 x 2)
- $20 gross spending on Banker Bets (20 x $1)
- $23.40 gross win on Banker Bets (60% Winning = $12 x 1.95)
$100 – $30 – $20 + $28 + $23.40 = $101.40
Using Safer Gambling Tools
Setting markers can help you track your gross spending. Instead of looking down at a 1.4% profit margin, your gross losses are 50% and wins are 51.40%. On paper, these values seem trivial as we are only interested in the profit. But imagine the gamer who has played that hour. Their cognitive biases may kick in when they see the small profit margin, the exact confirmation they need to carry on playing.
This is when the game can get dangerous, as in the next hour the gamer will have likely spent another $50, and who knows if they will come out with enough wins to stay in the green. Therefore, you are encouraged to use win and loss markers to keep track of your gross spending and winning.
Baccarat Stake Size
It is quite depressing that the $100 per month example comes out to about 30 cents per hand. Cranking up that stake to $1 per hand, will result in the player using a quarter of their monthly bankroll every half hour ($25). With the gross wins the player will almost certainly not spend $25 in the half hour. But when gambling, you must be prepared for the worst.
So it is vital to pick a table that can accommodate your budget. At online casinos, there are usually loads of tables for gamers with tighter budgets. But there are also just as many options for high rollers who can play for tremendous sums per hand.
As a beginner, it is highly recommended that you play with a fixed stake per round and get yourself familiar with the game. Once you have tested the waters, you can turn to advanced baccarat strategies to get the most out of your bankroll.
Strategies Involving Stake Per Hand
These strategies are quite complex, and each one yields different results. Gamers who want to play more aggressively can use a progressive betting sequence such as the Martingale system. In that case, they are doubling up after every loss to try and turn a profit. It is a good option, but only if you start with a small stake and have an expansive bankroll.
The beginner's strategy we mentioned before is called flat betting and is the ideal choice regardless of your level of experience. You fix your stake before playing, and then use the same stake for every hand. Never deviating, this can bring a good balance to your profit and loss margin. It will not win you big money quickly, but you won't lose heavily either. It is also the easiest to track.
But there are tons of betting systems. For example, the Paroli system involves players doubling up whenever you win until your lose. But the doubling up is capped at 3 wins. If you win 3 hands in a row, you go back to the original stake. If you lose, you also return to the original stake value. The Labouchere system is a bit of both, with you increasing or decreasing your stake by 1 unit (or chip) after every round. When winning, reduce your stake by 1 chip, and after a loss increase it by 1.
There are lots of different types of betting sequences and progressive betting systems. Some are designed to aggressively push for the win. Others are more balanced and are not as risky. The Labouchere is perhaps the most balanced and safest of all, but it is also very slow to build a big profit.
Conclusion
You cannot play it too safe when designing the perfect bankroll and baccarat strategy. Everyone has their own gaming preferences and total bankroll. Take as much time as you need to plan your bankroll, and after some testing, you can always adjust it. Just make sure you don't get too carried away with your gaming, especially if you have pumped a good 1 or 2 hours into baccarat. The dangers are mostly psychological, but they can take a turn for the worse quite quickly if you don't stick to the plan.
All players are encouraged to make use of safer gambling tools such as deposit limits, reality checks and win/loss trackers to maintain control over their spending. So choose your bankroll wisely, calculate how much you want to play, and never chase your losses or bet more than you can afford to lose.