The Game Awards 2024

Over the past 10 years, The Game Awards has become the go-to awards show for recognizing the best of the best video games, thanks to its splashy presentation, celebrity appearances, and exclusive reveals secured by the show’s host and creator, Geoff Keighley. The Game Awards is also known for its actual awards, though they often take a backseat to the spectacle.

That’s not unheard for awards shows, which often focus on entertainment, not on acceptance speeches from the winners themselves. But the awards are still a huge part of The Game Awards, especially for the artists, performers, designers, and producers who are nominated each year.

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The Game Awards is simultaneously an awards show and a trailer extravaganza in which game studios and publishers show off their upcoming slates. Some of these trailers are for games that have already been announced; others are what TGA host Geoff Keighley calls “world premieres.” We already know from official announcements about what’s confirmed to show up, but we also have some informed guesses as to what titles and franchises could get trailers, release date reveals, or other updates — plus some far-flung wishes about what should appear.

What we know: Mecha Break will get “a special announcement.” Bandai Namco will reveal a new fighter for Tekken 8. Borderlands 4 will get its first actual trailer, along with Mafia: The Old Country. Plus, there’s some sort of update coming on Warframe: 1999.

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This year marks the 10th anniversary of The Game Awards, and in that time Geoff Keighley’s annual event has established itself quite firmly as the leading awards ceremony for the game industry — the Oscars of gaming. It remains promotionally overstuffed to the point that it’s still arguably better known for trailers than awards, but that’s changing. And although its winners tend to be pretty conservative, they are broadly representative of the critical consensus. Its voting body is composed of a wide range of international games media, so the chances are your favorite publications’ and critics’ picks factor into The Game Awards. (Polygon’s do.)

The top prize of the night is, of course, Game of the Year — and there are clear indicators of what makes a Game of the Year at The Game Awards, based on a decade of data. On Nov. 18, The Game Awards announced the nominees for this and all the other categories, mostly confirming those indicators. Still, it’s a particularly open race in 2024, with no cut-and-dried frontrunner. Below, after crunching numbers and taking temperatures, we pick the likely Game of the Year winner and rank the rest of the six nominees in order of their likeliness to win. We’ll find out if we got it right when the winner is announced at The Game Awards on Dec. 12.

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