Madden Super Bowl Predictions Over The Years: How Often Does EA Get It Right?

Super Bowl LIX takes place this Sunday, February 9, featuring the Kansas City Chiefs and the Philadelphia Eagles duking it out for the title. EA Sports historically simulates the Big Game and releases the results of the match-up, and that continued in 2025 with EA's simulation predicting the Eagles will beat the Chiefs by a score of 23-21. The simulation also predicted that Eagles QB will be named Super Bowl LIX MVP.

Here are some further predictions from EA's Madden simulation of Super Bowl LIX, as written by EA:

• Final Score and MVP: The Eagles edged the Chiefs 23-21 in a close back-and-forth game that came down to the final drive. Eagles QB Jalen Hurts was named Super Bowl LIX MVP.
• Early Game Dynamics: The Eagles started strong with Saquon Barkley using his exceptional juking abilities to score the first touchdown. The Chiefs responded with a touchdown pass from Patrick Mahomes to Travis Kelce, but an interception by CJ Gardner-Johnson helped keep the game close.
• Second Half Turnaround: After the Chiefs led 14-10 at halftime, the Eagles took the lead in the third quarter on a touchdown pass from Hurts to A.J. Brown. A crucial defensive stand by the Eagles' line, particularly Jalen Carter, prevented the Chiefs from scoring on a fourth-down attempt.
• Clutch Moments: In the fourth quarter, Mahomes led a drive for a Chiefs touchdown, but the Eagles answered back with a field goal to regain the lead. The game came down to the wire with the Chiefs' final drive ending in a missed field goal, sealing the Eagles' victory.

If you don't like this prediction or simply want to run your own, you can download Madden NFL 25 on Game Pass today and simulate the game for yourself.

EA's predictions in the past have been eerily accurate, like in 2015 when the simulation predicted the Patriots' comeback victory against the Seattle Seahawks--and the final score--along with the exact type of pass play that made it happen. It was spooky. But EA isn't always that accurate with its predictions. Sometimes, the simulation gets it very, very wrong.

With the Big Game dominating the sporting world this week, we're looking back at the past 10 years of EA Sports Madden Super Bowl simulations and predictions. As you'll see, EA's track record for predicting the winner has been a mix.

EA got off to a hot start by accurately predicting the Super Bowl winners four straight years, from Super Bowl 38 to Super Bowl 41. Since then, however, the simulation never got it right more than two years in a row, but it also never got it wrong for more than two straight years.

What does it all mean? Looking at the past decade-plus, EA has accurately predicted the Super Bowl winner about 50% of the time, which is impressive.

Off the field, companies are spending as much as $8 million for 30-second advertisements on Fox, which carries the game this year. This year, viewers can expect a lot of ads about AI.

Here is a rundown of EA's Madden Super Bowl simulations over the past years, looking at what was predicted and then what actually happened in real life. Super Bowl 59 takes place Sunday, February 9, starting at 6:30 PM ET on Fox.

Got a news tip or want to contact us directly? Email [email protected]